Hurricane Lee intensified along the East Coast of the United States: a surge impact analysis

Latest news on Hurricane Lee

Hurricane Lee intensifies as it passes through the waters north of Puerto Rico and surrounding islands. It is expected to continue moving slowly for two days, until reduced airflow from the Great Lakes region affects it. This will cause Lee to move north starting Wednesday.

Hurricane path

Lee’s path is likely to be between the east coast of the United States and Bermuda. While the exact northward path is not yet clear, the greatest uncertainty is what will happen after the hurricane crosses Bermuda and lies off the coast of the mid-Atlantic states, likely on Friday.

Bermuda Alert

Advisories and advisories are expected to be issued for Bermuda between tomorrow and Friday.

Possible detour to the New England coast

After Low Lee passes on Friday, a high pressure area north of the hurricane could shift Lee toward the New England coast. This could cause Lee’s path to take an S shape. While the curves will be gentle, any shift to the left will result in stronger winds near or on the coast in parts of the Northeast, New England and Atlantic Canada.

Impacts on the East Coast

Regardless of the exact path, the hurricane’s energy will affect the entire East Coast. The waves on the coast will begin to change character with undercurrents and rip currents starting tomorrow in the southeast. The energy will spread northward, peaking in the mid-Atlantic around Friday and in New England over the weekend. It is important to heed warnings for high tide and dangerous beach conditions.

Direct impacts on the ground

It is difficult to accurately predict the direct ground effects of strong Li winds in advance. However, if any part of the US coast is directly affected, it appears that the areas most threatened will be from Long Island, New York, to northern Maine.

Hurricane force me

Despite returning to Category 3, Li’s current strength was not particularly relevant to the storm’s future. It will likely weaken slowly but expand in size as it moves north during the second half of the week. Don’t be fooled by the low numbers of maximum winds in the forecast, as a large-diameter storm will pump a tremendous amount of energy into the ocean.

More storms are coming

In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Margot remains on track to become a hurricane in the next few days before dissipating into the open ocean.

Tropical disturbances coming from Africa

A tropical disturbance that has moved out of Africa has a good chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next few days as it crosses the tropical Atlantic Ocean. The next name on the list is Nigel.

Nigel’s future

Over time, Nigel should absorb less of the discrete turbulence, increasing his available moisture. However, it is not expected to threaten the mainland this week. We will continue to monitor this closely.

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