Why the World Series is close in 5 graphs
Five games in, and the scoreboard says the San Francisco Giants are beating the Kansas City Royals three games to two. The games have been tight, with great pitching and timely hitting being the difference.
And, in spite being down 3-2, the stats and the history say the winner will still most likely be the Kansas City Royals.
In an analysis of the past five Major League Baseball champions, including this year’s two participants, the Royals come out ahead on some major statistical categories.
The Royals drove in fewer runs than the Giants during the regular season, but have driven more runs in during the playoffs:
The Royals have hit more during the regular season than the Giants, but San Francisco hit better heading into the World Series:
The Royals also have a higher team batting average during the regular season and during the playoffs (though, whoever wins will have one of the lowest team batting averages during the regular season of recent champions):
The stat that could decide a game during the series is base stealing, and Kansas City led the league during 2014:
As for pitching, the Royals and Giants both have had tremendous pitching throughout the 2014 season, with the Giants really turning up the heat in the playoffs with a 2.1 earned run average:
One last number: 8 out of the last 10 World Series Champions going home for game 6 down 3-2 ended up winning the series.
Games 6 and 7 are in Kansas City.